Testimony Before the U.S. Senate Committee on the Judiciary
Wednesday, December 7, 2011 – (release on delivery)
Statement by David North, Fellow,
Center for Immigration Studies, Washington, DC
Video of David North's Testimony
Mr. Chairman and Committee members, we are gathered here together to discuss what I think is a dysfunctional portion of a silly little program, which should be allowed to wither and die.
As background, the INA in its employment-based section permits aliens to secure green cards by investing various sums in this nation.
The most troublesome part of this program relates to the regional centers (largely private-for-profit entities) that identify investments in the U.S. economy that can provide green cards to aliens providing half-million-dollar level, short-term investments. That sum allows the alien and his family, after two years, to secure a full set of green cards. The other part of the program permits the issuance of green cards for full million dollar investments, without reference to the regional centers. These can be made anywhere in the nation.
It is the regional center part of the program that is up for re-authorization.
My conclusions about the program come after examining the regional center part of the immigrant investment program, from the outside, fairly carefully, and after being retained by the government of Australia, some years ago, to evaluate its somewhat comparable program, from the inside. There are seven reasons for this view:
The program is placed in a very odd and non-helpful bureaucratic location for the stimulation of international investment in the United States.
Its scale is all wrong, we are giving too much away for too small an investment. Raising venture capital at half a million dollars a tranche is, to say the least, inefficient. The regional centers, with their half-million schemes, essentially undercut the more sensible million-dollar part of this overall program.
Such programs, if we have them at all, should be about creating business entities, not passive investments; it should about creating real jobs, not elaborate calculations about the indirect creation of jobs.
The program, by its nature, attracts sub-par investments, and often scandals. Perhaps that is one reason, it has failed, year after year, to reach its legislative goal of 10,000 investment visas.
The regional center program is inherently clumsy, and the program is too filled with middlemen, both private and public.
The program, which has had more than its share of scandals, should not be streamlined; if anything, it needs more checks and balances, not fewer of them as the U.S. Immigration and Citizenship Services is currently suggesting.
Further, immigration visas to this struggling, over-populated nation should be regarded as precious, and given only for really significant reasons; to genuine spouses of genuine U.S. citizens, to really talented aliens (such as those in the first employment preference category), and to actual refugees fleeing from real dictators. In this program they go to people who have nothing to offer to the United States except a two-year investment of half a million dollars, to people who could not get a visa in any other way, and to people whose financial contribution to the United States is actually less — according to the Federal Reserve — than the average (mean) net worth of all American families in 2007.
Finally, half a million dollars, in 2011, is not as significant as it used to be, when this program was started 20 years ago.
Bear in mind that the basic deal, with the regional centers, is that all members of the immediate family get permanent green cards in exchange for a two-year investment of half a million dollars; for a family of five that’s $100,00 each. Then the money can be withdrawn.
1. The Misplaced Program. Let’s say that water safety is a good idea, and let’s acknowledge that someone dying a preventable death in Great Salt Lake is just as dead, and just as mourned, as someone dying a similar death off a Florida beach. Preventing maritime deaths is a good thing, so is increasing foreign investment. That does not mean that the U.S. Coast Guard is best positioned to run a water safety program in Utah, its nearest assets being a thousand miles away.
Similarly, if our goal is to increase foreign investment in the United States, there are lots of government agencies and programs — in Treasury, in State, in Commerce — that are far more sophisticated about investment matters, and far better placed to encourage investment — in significant hunks —– than the USCIS. Further a relatively minor official in a major Chinese or Swiss bank can probably generate more investment in the United States in a single memo, than USCIS can, huffing and puffing, all year long. A single 32-year-old executive at Goldman Sachs, similarly, could, by opening an attractive IPO to foreign investors, bring more money from overseas than all those EB-5 immigrant families, with their (temporary) half million contributions.
2. The Scale Is Wrong. As I have written in a research paper that the Center for Immigration Studies is about to publish, foreign investment comes to the United States routinely, in large volume, with minuscule help from EB-5. In 2010, total foreign investment in the United States increased by 1.9 trillion dollars,1 according to the U.S. Department of Commerce. My estimate (based on the investors’ green card applications filed two years after the first investment) is that EB-5 investment that year was about $191 million2, and that was a well above average year for the program. So, for every $100 of increased foreign investment that year, the EB-5 program contributed about one penny.
I have heard that using a much more wobbly statistical base (the initial applications of would-be immigrant investors) USCIS is telling journalists that the level of investment in the just-concluded fiscal year (2011) was at the $1.2 billion level. For the sake of argument let us accept that estimate, but even this (probably inflated) number would bring the amount of increased foreign investment up to the level of only six cents for every one hundred dollars.
If we do continue such a program, we should, as the other English-speaking countries3 do, require much larger investments than the half million now prevailing.
Needless to say, because the regional centers part of the program requires only half a million dollars, the other part of the EB-5 program where the basic level is one million, has just about become a dead letter.
3. Passive Investments or the Creations of Jobs and Businesses. The emphasis in the current regional center part of the EB-5 program is all wrong, it is on making passive investments through these centers for a two-year period, and getting green cards for the investor’s family at the end of that time.
This is not a program that seeks to bring entrepreneurs from overseas. Similarly, early in its life the program called for the creation of 10 full-time jobs for each investment, with the jobs going to citizens and green card holders who were not members of the investor’s family. More recently the jobs do not need to be identified as such, they can be calculated as “indirectly created” by just about any “reasonable” methodology the regional center can conjure up.
The actual creation of businesses and jobs should be the thrust of the program. We also should be realistic about the requirements — what kind of investment — in the real world —can create 10 full-time jobs with an investment of $500,000? Maybe a small restaurant in a small city. But do we really want more little start-up restaurants? Clearly there are basic activities such as farming, mining, and manufacturing where $500,000 could not possibly create 10 full-time, year-round jobs.
4. Too Many Questionable Projects. As a one-time publicist, both on Madison Avenue and in the greyer confines of government offices, I have often wondered why the EB-5 program, so heartily promoted by USCIS, has not issued a series of press releases about its success stories, or why that agency has not, at least, sponsored an outside evaluation of its own program. (I am, however, expecting one of my witness colleagues to provide a ski-slope success story today.)
The lack of internal research on the program was confirmed in a recent Los Angeles Times article, which stated: “The USCIS, by its own admission, has failed to closely track the flow of EB-5 money, how the projects are being sold to investors, or whether the projects were successful.” 4
Certainly if you are in the business of increasing investment in America over the last 20 years your program must have found some new wonder drug, brought year-round minor league sports to some sports-free small city, converted a dying coal town to an artist’s and tourists’ center, or done something along one of those lines. That there have been no press releases like these suggest either PR dullness or, more likely, nothing to publicize.
On the other hand, if you pay a little attention to news reports on EB-5 programs, as I have done, you encounter myriad examples of EB-5 projects that have gone wrong, in one of many ways. Here is a small and recent sample:
There was a bankrupt dairy farm in South Dakota, where 16 of the 17 jobs created by EB-5 funds, albeit briefly, turned out to be held by illegal aliens; 5
A convoluted effort, eventually rejected by USCIS, to use some legitimate money and some questionable (Iranian) funds to revive the old Watergate Hotel in Washington; 6
A scheme that was so lacking in integrity, in the Mojave Dessert in Central California, that the sponsoring EB-5 regional center itself was terminated; 7
Similarly, a mixed-use real-estate development, in El Monte, California, with a highly controversial set of developers, has collapsed taking down another EB-5 regional center. 8
There is a built-in reason for these EB-5 failures. There is, in the broader world, a wide spectrum of investment opportunities.
There are the topnotch ones, which are known to only the innermost of the insiders. Then there are those more publicized good deals in which major Wall Street outfits jostle each other to get a fraction of the play. Further down the ladder, there are other opportunities that can find the needed financing without going beyond familiar sources of capital. And then there are truly marginal opportunities in which the promoters have to struggle to get any money at all, and are willing to go to the extremes, in this case of: accepting a complex government program and limiting their take to half a million per investor.
It is these bottom-of-the-barrel investment opportunities that predominate in the EB-5 program. If you cannot get money for your new business, except by offering a green card to every member of the investor’s family, maybe it’s not a very attractive business.
It is no wonder that the Congressional ceiling of 10,000 EB-5 investor visas has never been approached, let alone filled. In some there were only a few hundred applicants; those numbers have risen recently, however, as USCIS has beaten the drums for this program.
5. Too Many Middlemen. There are too many private and public sector middlemen in the regional center program. Meanwhile, in the main-line, million-dollar investment program the whole thing is much simpler, but it is not used much because a half a million requirement beats a million dollar requirement every time. So why not let the regional center program die? That would automatically double the size of the initial investment, and remove most of the middlemen entirely.
I am not philosophically opposed to certain sensible governmental interventions in markets — such as the creation of the Social Security and Medicare programs — but I must point out to my friends on the right that eliminating the regional center part of this program should be praised by all thinking free marketers.
I think that such de-regulation makes perfect sense, though it would probably reduce the number of visas issued, and probably reduce the amount of money raised by this program. The reduction of EB-5 visas, by the way, would allow those visas to flow into the other employment-based categories, which is not a bad thing. Perhaps pending legislation could be amended so that any EB-5 visas not used would go directly into the EB-1 category for really skilled people.
6. Streamlining Is NOT the Answer. Faced with massive disinterest on the part of potential investors, the new leadership of USCIS has taken a number of steps to promote the EB-5 program, and to modify its administration to attract more successful applicants.
One of the ways to get more successful applicants is to make it more likely that the staff of USCIS says “yes” to the applications than it has in the past. The rarely discussed problem, for the agency’s leadership, is that the staff has been much more likely to reject EB-applications than those it sees elsewhere in the agency’s programs.
USCIS is an agency that loves to say yes to aliens, whatever they want. In fact, as we show in the table below, the agency said “no” less than 1 percent of the time to one major kind of application, in FY 2009, and said “no” about 8 percent of its time to all agency forms in FY 2011. (Prying data out of USCIS, particularly on its “no” decisions, is very difficult.)
In contrast, the staff said “no” to 11, 14, 17, 31, and 45 percent of the time on various EB-5 applications. A small number of these denials, 28 in FY 2010 were appealed to the DHS review panel, the Administrative Appeals Office, and all 28 of the denials were upheld. In short, the staff found a lot not to like in the EB-5 applications.
Rather than focusing all its efforts on raising the quality of the applications, USCIS has floated a “reform” program10 that is designed to re-shape the decision-making process to get more “yeses” out of the system. There will be (or are) new staff members at the bottom of the decision-making process, and a new command structure within the organization.
Further, in an unusual move, under certain circumstances people who want to open regional centers will be given a right to talk directly to USCIS staff about their proposals. It is often not realized that except in certain categories, USCIS staff make all their decisions on paper (or computer) records, and rarely see any applicants face to face. If you are a citizen, for instance, and you want to bring to the United States a relative dying of cancer in some medically under-served part of the globe you are not allowed to talk to a USCIS decision-maker, but if you want to create a regional center — why there’s a partial open sesame waiting for you.
Given the unusually large number of apparent problems with these applications, as shown by the unusually high number of staff-level denials, as reflected in the table, USCIS should be increasing its checks and balances in this program, not reducing them.
7. Lowering the Average Net Worth. Let’s assume that the aliens arriving as EB-5 immigrants have only the half million dollars with them. If that is the case letting them into the country — because they have money — actually lowers the average net worth of American families.
This is hard to grasp, but the average (that’s the mean) net worth of an American family in 2007 was $556,300, according to the Federal Reserve, and printed in the Statistical Abstract of the United States.11 A family arriving with $500,000 in hand would thus lower the average net worth of American families.
If we are going to have an immigrant investor program at all, obviously we should raise the stakes.
We can do so, without lifting a finger, by simply letting the regional center program die, thus increasing the minimum investment for immigrants to one million dollars.
USCIS Staff Finds More Problems in EB-5 Applications than in Most Others
Applications and Years
Nonimmigrant Worker Visa FY 09 (I-129); Agencywide
* Actual receipts in rows 1, 2, and 6, and sum of approvals and denials in rows 3 and 4; non-approvals in row 2 include both denials and petitions not acted upon, and in other rows denials only. See note immediately below about row 5. USCIS does not consistently publish denial statistics.
** USCIS data in row 5 are presented in numerical totals of proposals and then percentages for denials; the author calculated the numbers of approvals and non-approvals from those data. The FY ‘11 data are for the first half of the year.
2 The $191 million investment total estimate is based on the number of investors in 2009 who successfully filed I-829 petitions (there were 347 of them that year, according to USCIS statistics, the peak in the program’s history). Approvals of these documents confirmed that their investment obligations had been met, and granted the investors, and all members of their immediate families, green cards for life. The dollar total estimate is based on the assumption that 10 percent of the investments were at the one million level, and the rest at half a million. The math is:
(312 x $.5 million = $156 million) + (35 x $1 million = $35 million) = $191 million.
Unfortunately, USCIS has not published data on the total amount of money invested in the EB-5 program.
3 Other than Canada. The Bahamas, for example, in effect, requires a $1.5 million dollar investment, such as in a mansion, before it gives a permanent visa to the alien investor; since our economy is 2,000 times as large as that of those islands, this means that the Bahamas gets 6,000 times as much bang for the buck for its minimal investment than we do for our minimal investment, of a half million. (For more on these comparisons, see the forthcoming CIS Backgrounder on the EB-5 program).
The Center for Immigration Studies is an independent, non-partisan, non-profit research organization founded in 1985.
It is the nation's only think tank devoted exclusively to research and policy analysis of the economic, social, demographic,
fiscal, and other impacts of immigration on the United States.