Immigration Lame-Duck Fantasies Redux, Pt. 2

The Obama administration is threatening the equivalent of immigration fire and brimstone if Republicans don't make a lame-duck session deal. Yet their idea of a deal seems to be: Give us what we want in an immigration bill or we'll do it ourselves by executive action.

It's a maximalist position that reflects no real interest in accommodation. And at this stage the administration clearly feels there doesn't have to be any.

Responding to the President's Immigration Fiat, Pt. 5

The president's forthcoming executive amnesty and enforcement actions are likely to be an immigration Rubicon for the Republican Party — for its supporters, its elected officials, and its 2016 presidential candidates.

Let me start with Republican supporters and their elected officials. A recent Pew poll tells all in its title: "Neither Party Gets Good Marks from Its Base for Handling Illegal Immigration". According to the poll, 56 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaners feel that the Republican Party is not doing a good job on illegal immigration.

Responding to the President's Immigration Fiat, Pt. 4

In taking his immigration executive actions – especially if, as expected, they are expansive – the president will have thrown down a monumental, even radical, challenge to the American tradition of governance as well as to the American public and, not incidentally, to the Republican Party.

He and his allies can be expected justify his actions by all the means at his disposal, and they will be considerable. They are, however, by no means insurmountable.

Responding to the President's Immigration Fiat, Pt. 1

Responding to the President's Immigration Fiat, Pt. 2Responding to the President's Immigration Fiat, Pt. 3

The president is very likely to take executive action "before the end of the holiday season" that grants administrative amnesty to large groups of illegal aliens and may contain other provisions that reward his corporate and political supporters. The administration has not disclosed the exact provisions and it is likely that at this stage there are several drafts, each with somewhat different elements. It's likely that the final version will be dependent in part on the midterm election results as well as domestic and foreign circumstances.

However extensive the provisions are, responding to the president's immigration legislation-by-executive-order will not be easy.

The Executive Immigration Order That Breaks the Obama Presidency? Pt. 2

When a president's major policy initiative, like President Obama's healthcare initiative, never gains public support, he is in trouble. When, in addition, the public no longer supports many of the president's other major domestic or foreign policies, the trouble is far more serious. And when both of the preceding are true and the public views the president as "weak", ineffective", or "dishonest", it is appropriate to use the word "collapse" to describe that presidency.

That is the current state of the Obama presidency.

Topics: Politics